Sports wagering are often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great case in point. My partner and i analyzed typically the Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Virginia had this edge in the activity. However , My spouse and i also noticed that there was a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not gamble on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This game has all the symptoms of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, having equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming backside from being down major in the independence day one fourth to winning within overtime.
So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?
When this game were getting played with a good basic field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, the particular added in added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like very much, but in a near match-up this way, that special point can make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.
But what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home game titles.
Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… totobet118 hasn’t dropped in your own home since January 20, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in your own home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 8 points for each game with home. In case an individual don’t do the figures, that means due to the fact their last home loss they already have averaged beating his or her opponents by simply about 34 things per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by 13 points per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats have been piled up during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They already have got recent games that has they have already only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
Basically of which this is still the close match to contact. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off that game and not necessarily bet at all. There will be better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border was not so big they will may still win following building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular video game, people serious concerning wagering saved money that they can offer better apply on upcoming games.